{ "schema_version": "core-reviewed-term-ai-handoff-v1", "version": "core-reviewed-term-ai-handoff-v1", "contract_status": "preview", "distribution": "per_term_read_only_ai_handoff", "no_write_operations": true, "canonical": { "url": "https://core.yogoq.com/en-US/core/economics-concept-0269", "slug": "economics-concept-0269", "locale": "en-US" }, "summary": { "schema_version": "core-reviewed-term-summary-v1", "term_id": "a87e0ccf-1d08-505c-9741-9d90f73ad5bb", "canonical_slug": "economics-concept-0269", "canonical_url": "https://core.yogoq.com/en-US/core/economics-concept-0269", "locale": "en-US", "display_name": "Potential GDP", "english_name": null, "abbreviation": null, "short_definition": "Potential GDP tracks estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity to help teams set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets while managing the supporting growth versus avoiding overheating tradeoff.…", "quality": "reviewed", "publication_status": "published_reviewed", "version": "core-reviewed-term-summary-v1", "last_reviewed_at": "2026-05-14T00:00:00.000Z", "sources_count": 3, "limitations_key": "core-trust-policy-v1-2026-06-22" }, "content": { "definition": { "key": "definition", "title": "一言でいうと", "text": "Potential GDP tracks estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity to help teams set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets while managing the supporting growth versus avoiding overheating tradeoff. It turns complex signals into a shared decision threshold.", "items": [] }, "formula": null, "boundary": null, "usage": [ { "key": "meaning", "title": "意味", "text": "Potential GDP is the level of output an economy can sustain without accelerating inflation. It is typically measured by estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity and is used to set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets. The concept makes the supporting growth versus avoiding overheating tradeoff explicit and supports policy or operational thresholds across planning, stress testing, and review cycles. Teams document assumptions, data sources, and update cadence so results remain comparable over time.", "items": [] }, { "key": "usage", "title": "役立つ場面", "text": "Sets guardrails for set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets by interpreting estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity under scenario analysis and stress tests. Signals when to adjust strategy because the supporting growth versus avoiding overheating balance is shifting in current conditions. Aligns stakeholders by turning Potential GDP into a shared threshold for approvals and periodic reviews.", "items": [ "Sets guardrails for set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets by interpreting estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity under scenario analysis and stress tests.", "Signals when to adjust strategy because the supporting growth versus avoiding overheating balance is shifting in current conditions.", "Aligns stakeholders by turning Potential GDP into a shared threshold for approvals and periodic reviews." ] }, { "key": "usage", "title": "使い方のポイント", "text": null, "items": [ "Define calculation windows and inputs for Potential GDP before comparing periods or peers.", "Track leading indicators that move estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity so decisions are proactive, not reactive.", "Pair Potential GDP with qualitative context to avoid one-number overconfidence.", "Use triggers and escalation paths so set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets changes happen on time.", "Revisit assumptions when business mix, regulation, or market conditions shift." ] } ], "misunderstandings": [ { "key": "misunderstandings", "title": "よくある誤解 / 落とし穴", "text": null, "items": [ "Potential GDP is a fixed target; in practice, thresholds depend on risk tolerance and context.", "Improving Potential GDP always means better performance; it can hide costs or tradeoffs.", "One snapshot is enough; trends and volatility often matter more for decisions." ] } ], "examples": [ { "key": "examples", "title": "最小例", "text": "Example: Policy staff revise potential GDP after a productivity slowdown. The team calculates estimated trend output based on labor, capital, and productivity, compares it to an internal threshold, and discusses the supporting growth versus avoiding overheating implications. They decide to set medium-term fiscal and monetary targets with staged actions, document assumptions and data sources, and set a trigger for revisiting the decision. Over the next quarter, they monitor the metric alongside leading indicators and adjust the plan once the trigger is hit.", "items": [] } ], "comparisons": [ { "key": "comparisons", "title": "似ている言葉との違い", "text": "Compare Potential GDP with adjacent concepts before deciding. Potential GDP | Current concept | Use when the team needs the primary decision lens Adjacent metric or framework | Supporting lens | Use when the team needs evidence or process detail General vocabulary | Broad explanation | Use only for orientation, not final decision-making", "items": [ "Potential GDP | Current concept | Use when the team needs the primary decision lens", "Adjacent metric or framework | Supporting lens | Use when the team needs evidence or process detail", "General vocabulary | Broad explanation | Use only for orientation, not final decision-making" ] } ], "faq": [ { "question": "When should I use Potential GDP?", "answer": "Use it when the team needs to decide scope, priority, owner, or trade-off, not when it only needs a short definition." }, { "question": "What makes Potential GDP useful in practice?", "answer": "It becomes useful when it is tied to evidence, a decision owner, and a concrete next operating choice." }, { "question": "What should I avoid?", "answer": "Avoid using the term as a label without clarifying assumptions, boundaries, and how success will be judged." } ] }, "sources": { "source_refs": [ "concept:economics-concept-0269:en-US", "concept:economics-concept-0269:ja-JP", "core-term-page-500:concept:economics-concept-0269" ], "visible_sources": [ { "label": "IMF Data and Publications (IMF)", "url": "https://www.imf.org/", "kind": null }, { "label": "Principles of Marketing (Open Textbook Library)", "url": "https://open.umn.edu/opentextbooks/textbooks/principles-of-marketing", "kind": "tier_s" }, { "label": "Principles of Management (OpenStax)", "url": "https://openstax.org/details/books/principles-management", "kind": "tier_s" } ] }, "related_terms": [ { "topic_id": "8501d69a-9c1c-5a7a-a599-f681306270a0", "canonical_slug": "finance-concept-0001", "canonical_url": "https://core.yogoq.com/en-US/core/finance-concept-0001", "title": "Time Value of Money (TVM)", "relation_type": "next" }, { "topic_id": "b1a21173-7b70-5741-8d86-e5ae520c70f9", "canonical_slug": "economics-concept-0266", "canonical_url": "https://core.yogoq.com/en-US/core/economics-concept-0266", "title": "Total Factor Productivity Growth", "relation_type": "used_together" }, { "topic_id": "3080427a-a386-5c41-a295-e8390ca1610a", "canonical_slug": "economics-concept-0080", "canonical_url": "https://core.yogoq.com/en-US/core/economics-concept-0080", "title": "Economies of Scale", "relation_type": "used_together" }, { "topic_id": "56c9ea7c-8acd-5033-9fc5-70746b2e9d06", "canonical_slug": "economics-concept-0083", "canonical_url": "https://core.yogoq.com/en-US/core/economics-concept-0083", "title": "Price Discrimination", "relation_type": "used_together" } ], "quality": { "quality": "reviewed", "publication_status": "published_reviewed", "source_count": 3, "last_reviewed_at": "2026-05-14T00:00:00.000Z", "trust_policy_version": "core-trust-policy-v1-2026-06-22" }, "limitations": { "policy_version": "core-trust-policy-v1-2026-06-22", "professional_advice_boundary": "reference_only_not_professional_advice", "text": "This page is reference information for research and learning. For accounting, legal, finance, health, security, or other individual decisions, confirm against primary sources or qualified professionals.", "items": [ "Public pages support general understanding and practical context; they are not professional advice for individual cases.", "Fast-changing information such as regulations, accounting standards, prices, product specs, and legal requirements should be checked against primary sources before final decisions.", "Even when AI-assisted drafting or audit is used, publication relies on quality gates and human-readable evidence." ] } }